From b163a56145b6b1e3dbf554ff9c6d4f7d95460946 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: malmans2 Date: Thu, 11 Jul 2024 17:11:47 +0000 Subject: [PATCH] =?UTF-8?q?Deploying=20to=20gh-pages=20from=20@=20ecmwf-pr?= =?UTF-8?q?ojects/c3s2-eqc-quality-assessment@e6c8a143c8447818463984ab9dcc?= =?UTF-8?q?5b1d491ade6b=20=F0=9F=9A=80?= MIME-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=UTF-8 Content-Transfer-Encoding: 8bit --- Climate_Projections/climate.html | 2 -- In_Situ/insitu.html | 2 -- Reanalyses/reanalysis.html | 2 -- Satellite_ECVs/satellite.html | 2 -- Seasonal_Forecasts/seasonal.html | 4 --- ...thly-single-levels_forecast-skill_q02.html | 2 -- ...thly-single-levels_forecast-skill_q04.html | 28 ++++++------------- ...hly-single-levels_forecast-skill_q02.ipynb | 4 +-- ...hly-single-levels_forecast-skill_q04.ipynb | 8 +++--- genindex.html | 2 -- intro.html | 2 -- search.html | 2 -- searchindex.js | 2 +- 13 files changed, 16 insertions(+), 46 deletions(-) diff --git a/Climate_Projections/climate.html b/Climate_Projections/climate.html index 5d49f99a..0979694b 100644 --- a/Climate_Projections/climate.html +++ b/Climate_Projections/climate.html @@ -204,8 +204,6 @@
  • Quality assessments for Seasonal Forecasts
    • diff --git a/In_Situ/insitu.html b/In_Situ/insitu.html index 9ddb46aa..847213d8 100644 --- a/In_Situ/insitu.html +++ b/In_Situ/insitu.html @@ -205,8 +205,6 @@
  • Quality assessments for Seasonal Forecasts
    • diff --git a/Reanalyses/reanalysis.html b/Reanalyses/reanalysis.html index bc40d9b3..3c40009d 100644 --- a/Reanalyses/reanalysis.html +++ b/Reanalyses/reanalysis.html @@ -205,8 +205,6 @@
  • Quality assessments for Seasonal Forecasts
    • diff --git a/Satellite_ECVs/satellite.html b/Satellite_ECVs/satellite.html index 7d333ebc..028fce43 100644 --- a/Satellite_ECVs/satellite.html +++ b/Satellite_ECVs/satellite.html @@ -205,8 +205,6 @@
  • Quality assessments for Seasonal Forecasts
    • diff --git a/Seasonal_Forecasts/seasonal.html b/Seasonal_Forecasts/seasonal.html index 93128378..c547f1d2 100644 --- a/Seasonal_Forecasts/seasonal.html +++ b/Seasonal_Forecasts/seasonal.html @@ -207,8 +207,6 @@
  • Quality assessments for Seasonal Forecasts
    • @@ -434,8 +432,6 @@

    Available assessments
  • Seasonal forecasts bias assessment for impact models
  • Evaluation of the hit-rate of seasonal forecasts for tercile categories of monthly anomalies
    • -
  • Use case: a national hydro-met services informing decisions in agricultural or energy applications
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  • Quality assessment questions
    • diff --git a/Seasonal_Forecasts/seasonal_seasonal-monthly-single-levels_forecast-skill_q02.html b/Seasonal_Forecasts/seasonal_seasonal-monthly-single-levels_forecast-skill_q02.html index e8c55d72..6f067368 100644 --- a/Seasonal_Forecasts/seasonal_seasonal-monthly-single-levels_forecast-skill_q02.html +++ b/Seasonal_Forecasts/seasonal_seasonal-monthly-single-levels_forecast-skill_q02.html @@ -205,8 +205,6 @@
  • Quality assessments for Seasonal Forecasts
    • diff --git a/Seasonal_Forecasts/seasonal_seasonal-monthly-single-levels_forecast-skill_q04.html b/Seasonal_Forecasts/seasonal_seasonal-monthly-single-levels_forecast-skill_q04.html index 6eeab471..8ebb24e3 100644 --- a/Seasonal_Forecasts/seasonal_seasonal-monthly-single-levels_forecast-skill_q04.html +++ b/Seasonal_Forecasts/seasonal_seasonal-monthly-single-levels_forecast-skill_q04.html @@ -207,8 +207,6 @@
  • Quality assessments for Seasonal Forecasts
    • @@ -412,9 +410,8 @@

    Contents

    @@ -466,12 +460,11 @@

    Contents

    Evaluation of the hit-rate of seasonal forecasts for tercile categories of monthly anomalies#

    Production date: 30/05/2024

    Produced by: Sandro Calmanti (ENEA), Alessandro Dell’Aquila (ENEA)

    +
    +

    Use case: a national hydro-met services informing decisions in agricultural or energy applications#

    -
    -

    Use case: a national hydro-met services informing decisions in agricultural or energy applications#

    -
    -
    -

    Quality assessment questions#

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    +

    Quality assessment questions#

    • What are the hit-rates for terciles categories in seasonal forecasts for anomalies above/below normal?

    • Can I use information from seasonal forecasts of monthly anomalies to make decisions?

      • @@ -490,6 +483,7 @@

      Quality assessment questionsGuidance on Verification of Operational Seasonal Climate Forecasts highlights how the use of generalised methodologies for the assessment of seasonal forecasts sometimes represent limited attraction for new users. Therefore, the Guidance recommends a range of methodologies of increasing complexity, including very simple ones like the hit-rate, which are particularly useful for introducing the potential value of seasonal forecasts to non-specialists.

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    Quality assessment statement#

    @@ -1309,9 +1303,8 @@

    References diff --git a/searchindex.js b/searchindex.js index 56024cd2..2cb71da3 100644 --- a/searchindex.js +++ b/searchindex.js @@ -1 +1 @@ -Search.setIndex({"alltitles": {"1. Choose the data to use and setup the code": [[5, "choose-the-data-to-use-and-setup-the-code"], [6, "choose-the-data-to-use-and-setup-the-code"]], "2. Download and process data": [[6, "download-and-process-data"]], "2. ERA5 data retrieval and area average": [[5, "era5-data-retrieval-and-area-average"]], "3. Hit-score analysis": [[6, "hit-score-analysis"]], "3. Seasonal hindcast data retrieval and area average": [[5, "seasonal-hindcast-data-retrieval-and-area-average"]], "4. Compute the hindcast bias": [[5, "compute-the-hindcast-bias"]], "4. Plot and describe results": [[6, "plot-and-describe-results"]], "5. Plot and describe results": [[5, "plot-and-describe-results"]], "Analysis and results": [[5, "analysis-and-results"], [6, "analysis-and-results"]], "Analysis of terciles": [[6, "analysis-of-terciles"]], "Available assessments": [[0, "available-assessments"], [1, "available-assessments"], [2, "available-assessments"], [3, "available-assessments"], [4, "available-assessments"]], "C3S EQC quality assessments": [[7, "c3s-eqc-quality-assessments"]], "Climate projections": [[0, "climate-projections"]], "Compute hit-score and show a sample plot": [[6, "compute-hit-score-and-show-a-sample-plot"]], "Define parameters describing regions, variables, and data": [[5, "define-parameters-describing-regions-variables-and-data"], [6, "define-parameters-describing-regions-variables-and-data"]], "Define the required functions": [[5, "define-the-required-functions"], [6, "define-the-required-functions"]], "Discussion": [[5, "discussion"]], "Download and process ERA5": [[6, "download-and-process-era5"]], "Download and process seasonal forecasts": [[6, "download-and-process-seasonal-forecasts"]], "Evaluation of the hit-rate of seasonal forecasts for tercile categories of monthly anomalies": [[6, "evaluation-of-the-hit-rate-of-seasonal-forecasts-for-tercile-categories-of-monthly-anomalies"]], "Hit-rate for 2 m temperature": [[6, "hit-rate-for-2-m-temperature"]], "Hit-rate for other variables": [[6, "hit-rate-for-other-variables"]], "How to read the results": [[5, "how-to-read-the-results"]], "If you want to know more": [[5, "if-you-want-to-know-more"], [6, "if-you-want-to-know-more"]], "Import required packages": [[5, "import-required-packages"], [6, "import-required-packages"]], "Insitu Observations": [[1, "insitu-observations"]], "Key resources": [[5, "key-resources"], [6, "key-resources"]], "Layers of evaluation and quality control": [[7, "layers-of-evaluation-and-quality-control"]], "Methodology": [[5, "methodology"], [6, "methodology"]], "Plot the chosen regions": [[5, "plot-the-chosen-regions"], [6, "plot-the-chosen-regions"]], "Quality assessment questions": [[5, "quality-assessment-questions"], [6, "quality-assessment-questions"]], "Quality assessment statement": [[5, "quality-assessment-statement"], [6, "quality-assessment-statement"]], "Quality assessments": [[7, "quality-assessments"]], "Reanalysis": [[2, "reanalysis"]], "References": [[5, "references"], [6, "references"]], "Running the Notebooks": [[7, "running-the-notebooks"]], "Satellite Observations": [[3, "satellite-observations"]], "Seasonal forecasts": [[4, "seasonal-forecasts"]], "Seasonal forecasts bias assessment for impact models": [[5, "seasonal-forecasts-bias-assessment-for-impact-models"]], "Show a sample global map of temperature biases": [[5, "show-a-sample-global-map-of-temperature-biases"]], "These are the key outcomes of this assessment": [[5, null], [6, null]], "Use case: Risk assessment in agriculture using seasonal forecasts as an input for climate impact models.": [[5, "use-case-risk-assessment-in-agriculture-using-seasonal-forecasts-as-an-input-for-climate-impact-models"]], "Use case: a national hydro-met services informing decisions in agricultural or energy applications": [[6, "use-case-a-national-hydro-met-services-informing-decisions-in-agricultural-or-energy-applications"]]}, "docnames": ["Climate_Projections/climate", "In_Situ/insitu", "Reanalyses/reanalysis", "Satellite_ECVs/satellite", "Seasonal_Forecasts/seasonal", "Seasonal_Forecasts/seasonal_seasonal-monthly-single-levels_forecast-skill_q02", "Seasonal_Forecasts/seasonal_seasonal-monthly-single-levels_forecast-skill_q04", "intro"], "envversion": {"sphinx": 61, "sphinx.domains.c": 3, "sphinx.domains.changeset": 1, "sphinx.domains.citation": 1, "sphinx.domains.cpp": 9, "sphinx.domains.index": 1, "sphinx.domains.javascript": 3, "sphinx.domains.math": 2, "sphinx.domains.python": 4, "sphinx.domains.rst": 2, "sphinx.domains.std": 2, "sphinx.ext.intersphinx": 1}, "filenames": 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Choose the data to use and setup the code": [[5, "choose-the-data-to-use-and-setup-the-code"], [6, "choose-the-data-to-use-and-setup-the-code"]], "2. Download and process data": [[6, "download-and-process-data"]], "2. ERA5 data retrieval and area average": [[5, "era5-data-retrieval-and-area-average"]], "3. Hit-score analysis": [[6, "hit-score-analysis"]], "3. Seasonal hindcast data retrieval and area average": [[5, "seasonal-hindcast-data-retrieval-and-area-average"]], "4. Compute the hindcast bias": [[5, "compute-the-hindcast-bias"]], "4. Plot and describe results": [[6, "plot-and-describe-results"]], "5. 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