Skip to content
New issue

Have a question about this project? Sign up for a free GitHub account to open an issue and contact its maintainers and the community.

Sign up for GitHub

By clicking “Sign up for GitHub”, you agree to our terms of service and privacy statement. We’ll occasionally send you account related emails.

Already on GitHub? Sign in to your account

Update about_details.md #8

Open
wants to merge 2 commits into
base: master
Choose a base branch
from
+80 −51
Open

Update about_details.md #8

Changes from all commits
Commits
Show all changes
2 commits
Select commit Hold shift + click to select a range
3d03e85
Update about_details.md
clreiter Sep 27, 2018
54fcec3
Update about_details.md
clreiter Oct 15, 2018
File filter

Filter by extension

Filter by extension
Conversations
Failed to load comments.
Loading
Jump to
Jump to file
Failed to load files.
Loading
Diff view
Diff view
131 changes: 80 additions & 51 deletions md/about_details.md
View file
Open in desktop
Original file line number Diff line number Diff line change
@@ -1,11 +1,10 @@
### Overview

The new set of projections by levels of educational attainment was produced by a large team of researchers at the <a href="http://www.wittgensteincentre.org" target="_blank_">Wittgenstein Centre</a> for Demography and Global Human Capital and at other institutions. It is also part of an ongoing international effort to develop a new generation of global change scenarios related to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change <a href="http://www.ipcc.ch/" target="_blank">(IPCC)</a> according to a set of Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP) scenarios. There are two main areas where the new projections advance the state of the art beyond other existing global population projections (those that cover most world countries):
This website presents a set of different scenarios of future population and human capital trends in 201 countries of the world to 2100. The result of the population projections by levels of educational attainment were published in 2018 in <a href="https://ec.europa.eu/jrc/en/publication/demographic-and-human-capital-scenarios-21st-century-2018-assessment-201-countries">Lutz, Goujon, KC, Stonawski, and Stilianakis (Eds.) (2018)</a>. They provide an update of the projections (scope, coverage and quality) presented in <a href="https://global.oup.com/academic/product/world-population-and-human-capital-in-the-twenty-first-century-9780198703167?cc=at&lang=en&">Lutz, Butz and KC in 2014</a>, based on the work of a large team of researchers at the <a href="http://www.wittgensteincentre.org" target="_blank_">Wittgenstein Centre</a> for Demography and Global Human Capital and at other institutions.

* They explicitly and systematically incorporate population heterogeneity by level of education, thereby illustrating how educational attainment can and should be routinely added to age and sex as a third demographic dimension.
* The assumptions about future trends in fertility, mortality, and migration include the scientific input of more than 550 population experts around the world who either participated in a series of five substantive meetings or took part in an extensive online survey.
The present version (2.0) benefitted from the partnership with the Joint Research Centre in the Centre of Expertise on Population and Migration <a href="http://www.iiasa.ac.at/web/home/research/researchPrograms/WorldPopulation/Research/Centre_of_Expertise_on_Population_and_Migration.html">(CEPAM)</a>. On top of the assumptions about future trends in fertility, mortality, and education, the projections study the effect of several migration assumptions applied to the context of the set of Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP) scenarios related to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change <a href="http://www.ipcc.ch/" target="_blank">(IPCC)</a>.

The new version also includes the back projections from 2015 to 1950. More information in <a href="NEW LINK NEEDS TO BE ADDED ONCE WP IS DONE">Speringer et al. 2018</a>.
The new version also includes the reconstruction of population by levels of educational attainment from 1950 to 2015 for 185 countries. More information in <a href="NEW LINK NEEDS TO BE ADDED ONCE WP IS DONE">Speringer et al. 2018</a>.

### Citation
The suggested citation for data and plots from this website is:
Expand All @@ -19,11 +18,12 @@ Concept and Coordination:

* <a href="http://www.iiasa.ac.at/staff/staff.php?type=auto&visibility=visible&search=true&login=abel">Guy J. Abel</a>

* <a href="https://www.oeaw.ac.at/en/vid/people/staff/anne-goujon/">Anne Goujon</a>
* <a href="http://www.iiasa.ac.at/staff/staff.php?type=auto&visibility=visible&search=true&login=reiter">Claudia Reiter</a>

* <a href="https://www.oeaw.ac.at/en/vid/people/staff/dilek-yildiz/">Dilek Yildiz</a>

* <a href="https://www.oeaw.ac.at/isr/team/ag-innovation-und-urbane-oekonomie/jakob-eder/" target="_blank">Jakob Eder</a>
* <a href="https://www.oeaw.ac.at/en/vid/people/staff/anne-goujon/">Anne Goujon</a>

* <a href="https://raumforschung.univie.ac.at/team/bauer-ramon/" target="_blank">Ramon Bauer</a>

Data:

Expand All @@ -40,121 +40,150 @@ Researchers who participated in the development of the projections:
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>M. Jalal Abbasi-Shavazi</td>
<td>Anne Goujon*</td>
<td>Fernando Riosmena</td>
<td>Michel Guillot</td>
<td>Richard G. Rogers</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Guy J. Abel*</td>
<td>Michel Guillot</td>
<td>Louis Rosero-Bixby</td>
<td>Guy J. Abel<sup> a</sup></td>
<td>Graeme Hugo</td>
<td>Anna Rotkirch</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Alicia Adsera</td>
<td>Graeme Hugo</td>
<td>Arodys Robles</td>
<td>Gavin Jones</td>
<td>Patrick Sabourin<sup> a, b</sup></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bilal F. Barakat*</td>
<td>Lori Hunter</td>
<td>Richard G. Rogers</td>
<td>Bilal F. Barakat<sup> a</sup></td>
<td>Sandra Jurasszovich</td>
<td>Nikola Sander</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Stuart Basten</td>
<td>Gavin Jones</td>
<td>Anna Rotkirch</td>
<td>Samir K.C.<sup> a</sup></td>
<td>Warren C. Sanderson<sup> a</sup></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ramon Bauer*</td>
<td>Samir K.C.*</td>
<td>Nikola Sander*</td>
<td>Ramon Bauer</td>
<td>James K.S.</td>
<td>Zeba Sathar</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Jan Van Bavel</td>
<td>Siew-Ean Khoo</td>
<td>Sergei Scherbov<sup> a</sup></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Jan Van Bavel</td>
<td>James K.S.</td>
<td>Warren C. Sanderson*</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Alain Bélanger<sup> a, b</sup></td>
<td>Henri Leridon</td>
<td>Bruno Schoumaker</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Donatien Beguy</td>
<td>Siew-Ean Khoo</td>
<td>Zeba Sathar</td>
<td>Elke Loichinger<sup> a</sup></td>
<td>David Shapiro</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Caroline Berghammer*</td>
<td>Henri Leridon</td>
<td>Sergei Scherbov*</td>
<td>Caroline Berghammer<sup> a</sup></td>
<td>Marc Luy<sup> a</sup></td>
<td>Vegard Skirbekk</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ayla Bonfiglio</td>
<td>Marc Luy*</td>
<td>Bruno Schoumaker</td>
<td>Wolfgang Lutz<sup> a, b</sup></td>
<td>Tomas Sobotka<sup> a</sup></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>William P. Butz*</td>
<td>Wolfgang Lutz*</td>
<td>David Shapiro</td>
<td>William P. Butz</td>
<td>Guillaume Marois<sup> a, b</sup></td>
<td>Nikolaos Stilianakis<sup> b</sup></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Graziella Caselli</td>
<td>Douglas Massey</td>
<td>Vegard Skirbekk*</td>
<td>Marcin Stonawski<sup> a, b</sup></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>John Casterline</td>
<td>Bruno Masquelier</td>
<td>Tomas Sobotka*</td>
<td>Erich Striessnig<sup> a</sup></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Teresa Castro-Martin</td>
<td>John F. May</td>
<td>Erich Striessnig*</td>
<td>Christian Wegner-Siegmundt<sup> a</sup></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Minja Kim Choe</td>
<td>Blessing Mberu</td>
<td>Christian Wegner-Siegmundt*</td>
<td>Maria Rita Testa<sup> a</sup></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Youssef Courbage</td>
<td>France Mesl&#233;</td>
<td>Maria Rita Testa*</td>
<td>Alessandra Conte<sup> b</sup></td>
<td>France Meslé</td>
<td>Olivier Thévenon</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Sven Drefahl</td>
<td>Melinda Mills</td>
<td>Olivier Th&eacute;venon</td>
<td>Edward Jow-Ching Tu</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Rachel E. Durham*</td>
<td>Rachel E. Durham</td>
<td>S. Philip Morgan</td>
<td>Edward Jow-Ching Tu</td>
<td>Laura Wong</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Regina Fuchs*</td>
<td>Elsie Pamuk*</td>
<td>Laura Wong</td>
<td>Jakob Eder</td>
<td>Elsie Pamuk</td>
<td>Marcus Wurzer</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tomas Frejka</td>
<td>Fran&ccedil;ois Pelletier</td>
<td>Regina Fuchs </td>
<td>Michaela Potančoková<sup> a, b</sup></td>
<td>Brenda Yepez-Martinez</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tomas Frejka</td>
<td>Claudia Reiter<sup> a</sup></td>
<td>Dilek Yildiz<sup> a</sup></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Alessandra Garbero</td>
<td>Michaela Potan&#269;okov&#225;*</td>
<td>Kry&#353;tof Zeman*</td>
<td>Ronald R. Rindfuss</td>
<td>Sam Hyun Yoo</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Michel Garenne</td>
<td>Ronald R. Rindfuss</td>
<td>Fernando Riosmena</td>
<td>Kryštof Zeman<sup> a</sup></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Anne Goujon<sup> a</sup></td>
<td>Louis Rosero-Bixby</td>
<td>Zhongwei Zhao</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3">&#42; From the Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital</td>
<td>Erofili Grapsa<sup> b</sup></td>
<td>Arodys Robles</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><sup>a</sup> Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><sup>b</sup> Centre of Expertise on Population and Migration (CEPAM), Joint Research Center</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</dl>



Web interface built using:

* <a href="http://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/shiny" target="_blank">shiny</a>: Chang, W., Cheng J., Allaire, J.J., Xie, Y. & McPherson, J. (2013). shiny: Web Application Framework for R. R package version 0.11.1
Expand Down